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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 88 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4317 US elections 3223 Foreign politics 622 Political Leader Tenure 403 Future US Presidents 263 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,360 markets · page 88 of 224

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?

A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 202859¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…8687888990…224Next ›

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

▲ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

MA-04 Democratic nominee?

Jake Auchincloss88¢

3 outcomes

$38.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Bongbong Marcos declare martial law in his first presidential term?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ133 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$20 Vol▼ 2pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

MA-06 Republican nominee?

Micah Jones94¢

2 outcomes

$580 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Joe Biden's Presidential Memoir: How many copies will be sold in the first year?

1M-1.5M18¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

California Clinic Funding Proposition

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$1.8K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

MA-09 Democratic nominee?

Bill Keating93¢

2 outcomes

$36.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Price of gas on Election Day?

$3.76 - $4.0027¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ16.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Alexi Giannoulias

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$24.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

The field is highly concentrated at the top, with Vance, Newsom, and Shapiro collectively commanding 85% of the probability, but the recent US-Iran deal (NBC News, Jun 18) has shifted focus to foreign policy, potentially boosting candidates with national security credentials while sidelining others.

J. D. Vance44¢

111 outcomes

Ɱ134K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$210 Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Brandon Johnson

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 4pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? — Joe Holberg

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$899 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will John Duresky advance to the general election for WA-04?

Yes72¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$19 Vol▼ 0pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Nicki Minaj performs at the Kennedy Center during Trump's current presidential term

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? — Kam Buckner

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$890 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Amanda McKinney

Yes96¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$1.9K Vol7d

Kalshi

Open

Who will win Chicago Mayoral Election? — Maria Pappas

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$5.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

Republican Party89¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ18.7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo