Tech prediction markets
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
814 markets · page 17 of 34
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $5.26 on Jul 31? — Above $5.26
Yes ≈ 96% chance
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
814 markets · page 17 of 34
Yes ≈ 96% chance
Yes ≈ 82% chance
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Yes ≈ 39% chance
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Despite a flurry of speculative articles and celebrity endorsements, the market sees near-zero chance of an official U.S. confirmation of aliens before August 1, 2026, because no credible government or scientific body has made a definitive statement, and the few headlines that exist are from entertainment or analysis sites, not official sources.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 43% chance
Yes ≈ 88% chance
Yes ≈ 90% chance
Yes ≈ 52% chance
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Yes ≈ 42% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Yes ≈ 45% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance