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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 19 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2449 Tech Company Valuations 913 Big tech & chips 628 Space 476 Science 284 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,341 markets · page 19 of 56

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1718192021…56Next ›

Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ11.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes42¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$963 Vol2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

The market prices a very low probability of an Indian Ebola case by end of 2026, but recent events—a PHEIC for Bundibugyo ebolavirus in DRC/Uganda and a suspected case in Hyderabad—show the outbreak's proximity, making the 18% odds arguably too skeptical of spillover risk.

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$16.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ2.6K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$8.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

The market's 14% odds reflect the belief that the current Ebola outbreak in DR Congo and Uganda, while a public health emergency, is unlikely to spill over into Nigeria given strong surveillance and historical containment success, but the risk remains non-zero due to travel and bush meat exposure.

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$4.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026?

Cerebras100¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ7K Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$116K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

The market prices a low but real risk of Ebola reaching Rwanda from the DRC outbreak, reflecting strong Rwandan health capacity yet persistent cross-border exposure from an uncontrolled epidemic.

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$42.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will manifold introduce LLM-based spam detection by EOY 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ643 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Earbuds/Headphones

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$120K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Despite a major Ebola outbreak in DRC and Uganda declared a global health emergency, the market sees almost no chance of it reaching Somalia due to geographic distance, the specific virus strain's lower transmissibility, and the complete absence of any historical case in the country.

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$3.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2028?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ216 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$596 Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

The market heavily favors no case in Zambia by year-end despite a neighboring Ebola outbreak, reflecting the outbreak's remote location and the rare Bundibugyo strain's limited spread so far.

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$3.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes97¢

No3¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

$162K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ429 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$78 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$983 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ632 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Central African Republic

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Yes19¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$61.4K Vol5mo