Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 24 | PredictPal · PredictPal

💻

Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2369 Tech Company Valuations 883 Big tech & chips 602 Space 451 Science 266 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

2,600 markets · page 24 of 109

Polymarket

Open

Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

$4.8K Vol▲ 1pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…2223242526…109Next ›

Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Polymarket

Open

Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$3.4K Vol11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ4.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$813 Vol▼ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a model costing >$30M be intentionally trained to be more mechanistically interpretable by end of 2027? (see desc)

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$16.9K Vol5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI/BCIs/neurotech be sophisticated enough to reverse other people's bad opinions of each other by 2033?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ126 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Manifold· Play

Open

AI to assist in designing "Enlightment guides" by 2100.

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ187 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31? — ↑ 1510

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

$325 Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Would Anthropic win in Starcraft2 match between the best players of the Anthropic team and those of the OpenAI team?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ56 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? — ↑ 1520

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$152 Vol▼ 4pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

MLB player or team punished for illegal during-game use of AI by mid 2027

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ465 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? — 75%+

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$1.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If I write an encyclopedia of bad AI arguments, will people seem to find it useful?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher? — 80%+

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$70 Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — 65%+

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$248 Vol▲ 7pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will adept.ai auto-ask questions to manifold from a list of questions (.txt) by 2026?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — 55%+

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$978 Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? — 60%+

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$274 Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ555 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — 65%+

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$60 Vol▲ 5pts5mo