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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 31 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2345 Tech Company Valuations 872 Big tech & chips 600 Space 443 Science 263 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,433 markets · page 31 of 185

Manifold· Play

Open

Will majority consensus in AI ethics shift toward explicitly prioritizing authentic subjective fulfillment by 2030s end?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…2930313233…185Next ›

Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? — Watch

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$40.9K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is disabled for US customers before Aug 31, 2026? — Before Aug 31, 2026

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$7.5K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ626 Vol▲ 0pts16d

Polymarket

Open

Computer (Laptop/Desktop)

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$26.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. submit a BLA for Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) to the FDA? — before November

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk be buried on or have his ashes scattered on Mars when he dies?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ861 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$11.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Taylor Swift be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$6.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?

Yes24¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts9d

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? — ↑ 1650

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$8.6K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $6.66 on Jul 31? — Above $6.66

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$181 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX / xAI have a functioning space-based datacentre with 10K or more H100-class (or better) GPU's by 2032?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts5y

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? — ↑ 1700

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$8.9K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.39 by Dec 31? — Above $6.39

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$8.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket🔭 2 venues

Open

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑4k

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$191K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$42.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Yes40¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$25.7K Vol▼ 2pts7mo

Kalshi

Open

Nicolás Maduro

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Is Mars devoid of life?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ7.8K Vol▲ 0pts7y

Polymarket

Open

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? — #1

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$60.3K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? — Apple

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$4.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo