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PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 30 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2345 Tech Company Valuations 872 Big tech & chips 600 Space 443 Science 263 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,433 markets · page 30 of 185

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$204 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…2829303132…185Next ›

Will there be an expert-player-beating AI in EU4 by 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ308 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$17.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? — Before 2027

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

$9.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Despite ongoing speculation about SpaceX IPO and Dogecoin catalysts, the DOGE-1 moon mission was rescheduled in June 2026 with no new date, keeping the probability of a launch by year-end very low at 12%.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$872K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ50 Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Kalshi

Open

Earbuds/Headphones

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$51.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$578K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 16000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 16k

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

The market is pricing near-certainty that AI will produce a top-tier math paper for a modest cost by 2030, reflecting a belief that rapid progress in automated theorem proving and language models will overcome current quality and cost barriers, but the lack of recent headlines suggests the odds are driven by a general trend rather than a specific breakthrough.

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ671K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$72K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Hailey Van Lith

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$141 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑7.5k

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$183K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$32.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ10K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑12.5k

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$349K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? — Paramount+

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI creates Billboard Top 10 hit before 2028?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$26.7K Vol▼ 7pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026? — At least 4,900

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ249 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Earbuds/Headphones

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$120K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 180

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$106K Vol▲ 0pts5mo