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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 47 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2477 Tech Company Valuations 925 Big tech & chips 632 Space 489 Science 291 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,353 markets · page 47 of 57

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Israel–Premier Tech race at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ582 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…4546474849…57Next ›

will apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ262 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

YouTube, A social Networking site will still be a Google product till Feb. 24 2026

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ392 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ5.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ246 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ93 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Big Tech capital expenditures will exceed $500 billion in 2026

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "How AI Is Learning to Think in Secret" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ373 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Is scale unnecessary for intelligence (<10B param human-competitive STEM model before 2027)?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ8.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

170-17531¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ34.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ28 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ602 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Open

[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ9.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts7mo

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OpenAI deploys ads in ChatGPT web or mobile app by end of 2026

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ3.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ22K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

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Will Elon Musk go to space by the end of 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?

>=$10B100¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ16.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will "You're an AI Expert – Not an Influencer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ80 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

The legal free-for-all that characterized the first few years of the AI boom will be definitively over in 2026

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ475 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ440 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before 2030?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ296 Vol▲ 0pts3y