Tech prediction markets
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
3,310 markets · page 99 of 138
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Soft nationalization of any frontier AI company is seen as highly probable (79%), far outpacing hard nationalization (47%), and the field is moderately concentrated with xAI surprising above OpenAI — but no recent headlines provide concrete catalysts for these odds, suggesting they reflect long-term regulatory expectations rather than current events.
12 outcomes