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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 169 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4321 US elections 3233 Foreign politics 626 Political Leader Tenure 404 Future US Presidents 264 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

6,542 markets · page 169 of 273

Manifold· Play

Open

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ39.7K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…167168169170171…273Next ›

Republicans, 15+ pts

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-11 House Election Winner

Democratic Party98¢

8 outcomes

$21.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ514 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 17+ pts

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$394 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-12 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$43.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?

No (Team Pisco)95¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ4.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 19+ pts

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-14 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$35.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"100¢

56 outcomes

Ɱ8.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 3+ pts

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$402 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-15 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$121K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

Ɱ216 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 9+ pts

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$939 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-16 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$86.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How will Trump serve time?

Never92¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ26.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 15+ pts

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$400 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-18 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$38.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump outlive any of his children?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 19+ pts

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

▲ 2pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-19 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$45.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2032?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans, 21+ pts

Yes65¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

▲ 2pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-20 House Election Winner

Republican Party94¢

8 outcomes

$26.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo