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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 170 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4292 US elections 3192 Foreign politics 606 Political Leader Tenure 401 Future US Presidents 260 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 138 US Political Future 120 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

5,331 markets · page 170 of 223

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 17 House General Election be above 172000? — Above 172K

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…168169170171172…223Next ›

Open

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?

None of the above84¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 103000? — Above 103K

Yes95¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

JD Vance sits as sitting VP with historically strong nomination odds, but a crowded field and donor defections like Ken Griffin backing Rubio keep his path uncertain.

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ81.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 108000? — Above 108K

Yes88¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Party will win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election?

Republicans87¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 114000? — Above 114K

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 119000? — Above 119K

Yes73¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Dan Goldman loses his primary in NY-10?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 124000? — Above 124K

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

The winner of the 2028 election will be whoever the Jewish population supports.

Yes51¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ30 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 18 House General Election be above 129000? — Above 129K

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ334 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 190000? — Above 190K

Yes82¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the Democratic nominee for GA-01 in the 2026 midterms?

Other98¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ2.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$200 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?

Other52¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ35.4K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$300 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?

The field is extremely concentrated at 100% for each of nine named targets, reflecting a market that treats Trump's 'go after' as a near-certainty for a broad set of actors, but the recent headlines show no new concrete actions against any of these leaders—only rhetorical attacks like his swipe at LeBron James (The Guardian, Jul 25) and a combative WHCA dinner speech (The Hill, Jul 25), which the resolution explicitly says won't count without accompanying action.

Mainstream Media100¢

95 outcomes

Ɱ86.5K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election be above 240000? — Above 240K

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

▲ 0pts1y