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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 20 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 2853 US elections 1716 President ✨ 701 Foreign politics 238 Future US Presidents 211 US Political Timelines 111 Presidential Candidacy 64 Leader Tenure Predictions 60 Person of the Year Awards 11

8,153 markets · page 20 of 340

InsightX

Open

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316¢

2 outcomes

$78.6K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

‹ Prev1…1819202122…340Next ›

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%25¢

10 outcomes

$678K Vol▲ 0pts1y

InsightX

Open

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316¢

2 outcomes

$75.9K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Autopen / Auto Pen

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$12K Vol▲ 0pts23h

InsightX

Open

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

July 24100¢

2 outcomes

$63K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$29.4K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will John Fetterman vote for Trump's nominee to succeed Pam Bondi?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ305 Vol▲ 0pts6d

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump say "ISIS" before Jul 27, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$7.9K Vol▲ 0pts23h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

Yes66¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

New York Governor winner?

Kathy Hochul92¢

2 outcomes

$432K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

The field has collapsed into a two-person race between Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton, with Becerra holding a commanding lead after the June primary winnowed 23 candidates to just two viable contenders, but Hilton's Trump endorsement and UK outsider status inject a wildcard dynamic that could shift if national politics intervene.

Xavier Becerra95¢

23 outcomes

Ɱ178K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep37¢

4 outcomes

$29.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ199 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$181K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027? — Susie Wiles

The market sees Susie Wiles as unusually durable for a Trump chief of staff, but her recent push to counter Trump's 'rose-colored views' on the Iran war signals potential friction that could lead to an exit before 2027.

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$172K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Yes28¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$36.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Yes41¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

2028 Presidential matchup

Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio11¢

16 outcomes

$218K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

U.S. Virgin Islands Governor winner?

Stacey Plaskett58¢

7 outcomes

$61.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y