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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 21 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 2853 US elections 1716 President ✨ 701 Foreign politics 238 Future US Presidents 211 US Political Timelines 111 Presidential Candidacy 64 Leader Tenure Predictions 60 Person of the Year Awards 11

8,153 markets · page 21 of 340

Manifold· Play

Open

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ877 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1920212223…340Next ›

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 19317¢

11 outcomes

$2.2M Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ25.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$11.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

The field is highly fragmented with 'Other' at 37%, indicating no dominant figure has emerged; the biggest recent shift is Zohran Mamdani rising to 14% after leading an early TIME poll (Hindustan Times, Jul 25).

Other37¢

20 outcomes

Ɱ165K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026? — Above 40

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$25.4K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ15.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

LA-06 Republican nominee?

Monique Appeaning7¢

4 outcomes

$6.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

Larry Rhoden, ≥12%92¢

10 outcomes

$17.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ717 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Kansas Senate winner?

Republican party84¢

2 outcomes

$181K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ408 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Michigan Senate winner?

Democratic party70¢

2 outcomes

$280K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ103 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$92.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

5016¢

15 outcomes

$254K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ7.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$96K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ8.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3? — Above $35M

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats win 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary? — At least 10%

James Fishback's odds reflect a Gen Z outsider running on rage-bait (NYT, Mar 12) who must overcome Byron Donalds' local dominance and a ballot challenge, polling data from NYT shows the race is tightening but Fishback remains far below 10% in public surveys.

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$176K Vol▲ 0pts1y