Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
13,236 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 22 of 417
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
The market is pricing a Trump pardon for SBF at zero because the Senate's unanimous, bipartisan opposition and the final rejection of SBF's appeals have made a pre-July 31 pardon politically toxic, even for a president who has floated pardons for other high-profile figures.
Yes ≈ 0% chance