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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 22 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3813 US elections 2684 President ✨ 757 Foreign politics 403 Republican ✨ 325 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 126 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 Political ✨ 81 Presidential Candidacy 72 Person of the Year Awards 12

6,047 markets · page 22 of 252

Polymarket

Open

Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$3.9K Vol▲ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…2021222324…252Next ›

FL-28 House winner?

Republican party88¢

2 outcomes

$5.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Supreme Court leaker's identity be known by 2030?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ698 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$1.4K Vol▲ 5pts7h

Kalshi

Open

MI-01 House winner?

Republican party93¢

2 outcomes

$17.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

MO-03 House Election Winner

Republican Party90¢

8 outcomes

$14.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a crypto market structure bill become law before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$13K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Melania Trump remarry?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ588 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$1.5K Vol▼ 2pts7h

Kalshi

Open

NY-24 House winner?

Claudia Tenney92¢

2 outcomes

$9.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

If Biden's attempt to push through the 28th amendment goes to the supreme court, will the decision be unanimous?

Yes65¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ223 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will anyone say "Conquest" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 4pts7h

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$43.8K Vol▲ 1pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

NY-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party94¢

8 outcomes

$13.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will Trump endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?

Darline Graham92¢

5 outcomes

$43.6K Vol▲ 0pts15d

Polymarket

Open

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

The market heavily discounts an Alito retirement by year-end 2026, but the recent 2-point uptick in Yes odds is almost entirely noise from a high-profile NPR retraction on June 30, not from any real signal about Alito's plans.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$639K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump successfully defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ157 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the total vote count for all participants in Maine Senate General Election be above 780000? — Above 780K

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$536 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$266K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ21.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Darline Graham Nordone receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — At least 25%

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

The market heavily favors No because Iran has repeatedly rejected handing over enriched uranium and is pursuing a transfer to China, making US possession unlikely without a dramatic reversal.

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$2M Vol5mo