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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 34 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4215 US elections 3114 Foreign politics 558 Political Leader Tenure 396 Future US Presidents 257 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 132 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,769 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 34 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump veto at least 3 bills before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 3

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$4.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…3233343536…417Next ›

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$178K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?

Kash Patel is consolidating power as FBI Director, leading high-profile investigations and receiving explicit backing from the Trump administration, making an early departure before 2027 unlikely despite a minor odds dip.

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$1.2M Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?

More than 2599¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ11.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?

140-15927¢

11 outcomes

$10.4K Vol▼ 15pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$37.6K Vol▲ 23pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

The field is unusually fragmented for 26 months out, with no candidate above 16% and the top three combining for just 53%, reflecting a pre-primary phase where name recognition and institutional roles dominate over any clear ideological or coalition-building signal.

Other23¢

26 outcomes

Ɱ108K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$42K Vol▲ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

What will Donald Trump say during Remarks at General Motors in Milford, Michigan? — Supreme Court

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 12pts15d

Manifold· Play

Open

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Other22¢

82 outcomes

Ɱ13.6K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Trump 5+ times

Yes82¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$3.2K Vol▼ 5pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Will Mamdani sign above 0 executive orders between Jul 26, 2026 and Aug 1, 2026? — Above 0

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 1pts6d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$2.2M Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Jeremy Moss90¢

5 outcomes

$47.6K Vol▼ 2pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Yes39¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ678 Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

White House # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?

200+83¢

11 outcomes

$23.4K Vol▼ 10pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? — Donald Trump

The market heavily discounts a Trump Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, reflecting that no clear peace breakthrough or nomination momentum exists, while ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and domestic controversies further undermine his candidacy.

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$597K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will OH elect in 2026?

324¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 202644¢

7 outcomes

$140K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Georgia Senate winner?

Jon Ossoff90¢

2 outcomes

$930K Vol▼ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2026 Alaska House election?

Nick Begich III (R)66¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ4.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$122K Vol4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$72K Vol▲ 0pts1mo