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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 33 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4215 US elections 3114 Foreign politics 558 Political Leader Tenure 396 Future US Presidents 257 US Political Timelines 212 Leader Tenure Predictions 132 US Political Future 118 Presidential Candidacy 80 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,769 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 33 of 417

Polymarket

Open

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$93.3K Vol▼ 9pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…3132333435…417Next ›

Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$11.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will New England elect in 2026?

2059¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

CA-45 House Election Winner

Democratic Party87¢

8 outcomes

$15.3K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump leave office before January 20, 2029? — Before January 20, 2029

The market assigns a 73% probability that Trump completes his term, reflecting a lack of credible early-exit scenarios despite some recent administrative turbulence.

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$515K Vol▼ 2pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump outlive Biden?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ14.8K Vol▼ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$94.5K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — J.D. Vance

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

$26.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

Pope Leo XIV86¢

39 outcomes

Ɱ9.5K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes19¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$804K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week? — 1-2 AM

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$1.8K Vol▼ 2pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ48.3K Vol▼ 0pts13y

Polymarket

Open

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Francesca Hong84¢

29 outcomes

$239K Vol▼ 1pts15d

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

GA-05 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$40.2K Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?

He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.)60¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ15.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

The CLARITY Act, the primary crypto market structure bill, is losing momentum as the August recess deadline approaches and President Trump's financial disclosure and new demands erode support, making the 38% Yes odds increasingly vulnerable.

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$736K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

When will Mitch McConnell retire?

Later43¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ31.9K Vol▼ 1pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026? — Before Nov 4, 2026

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$108K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

TX-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party93¢

8 outcomes

$22.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

HI-01 Democratic nominee?

Jarrett Keohokalole58¢

4 outcomes

$22.1K Vol▲ 7pts1y

Polymarket

Open

CA-25 House Election Winner

Democratic Party93¢

8 outcomes

$10.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play⚡ Moving fast

Open

Will Trump interfere with Greenland?

Trump's repeated calls for US control over Greenland have not translated into concrete action, and NATO's unified rejection reinforces the market's low expectation of interference.

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ57.4K Vol▼ 1pts5mo