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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 343 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3856 US elections 2733 President ✨ 772 Foreign politics 418 Republican ✨ 332 Future US Presidents 221 US Political Timelines 202 Iran ✨ 128 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 Political ✨ 83 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 12

13,249 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 343 of 417

Kalshi

Open

Will the House impeach a federal judge before 2027? — Before 2027

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…341342343344345…417Next ›

Will a Trump administration imprison a journalist, a politician, or an "enemy of the state" before the 2026 midterms?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ245 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term? — Before 2029

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?

Trump's 23% chance to visit Wyoming in 2026 reflects a low baseline for presidential visits to a small, rural state, but recent White House engagement with Wyoming officials on coal subsidies and healthcare funding has opened a narrow path for a trip, likely tied to touting those policies.

Yes31¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

$3.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?

The field is extremely fragmented with 'Other' leading at 25% and the top three summing only 57%, reflecting a wide-open race with over two dozen potential candidates (Washington Examiner, Jul 24). The biggest recent shift is not explicit in headlines, but Nevada's change to its Democratic primary calendar (Nevada Independent, Jul 24) could alter candidate momentum.

Other25¢

30 outcomes

Ɱ19.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

During his presidential term

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$14.7K Vol▲ 0pts5y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ7.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 2

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$6 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? — December 31, 2026

Despite a 90% No probability, the market is pricing in a non-trivial 11% chance that Mike Johnson is ousted or resigns by end of 2026, driven by persistent GOP infighting and his tightrope walk with Trump, not by any single scandal or vote.

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$3.4K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 3

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?

The market strongly expects no Trump visit to Syria, with odds at 8% and dropping, while the only Syria-related headlines feature the UN chief's visit, highlighting the absence of US diplomatic engagement and the enduring security challenges.

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump meet in person in year 2029?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ294 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 4

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$2 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Click Bishop's odds are slipping as he trails key rivals in fundraising and burns cash faster than he raises it, despite his active campaigning and identity as an Alaska Native candidate.

Yes40¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

$41.4K Vol22d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Dems control all 3 branches? || Will a wealth tax be passed? [BEFORE 2030]

Dems DON'T control all 3 branches + A wealth tax ISN'T passed81¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ7.6K Vol3y

Kalshi

Open

Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028? — At least 5

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$8 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$6.9K Vol22d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Senate Election?

Democrats94¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ1K Vol3mo

Kalshi

Open

Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?

Brothers of Italy51¢

5 outcomes

$6.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Nancy Dahlstrom

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$13.5K Vol22d

Kalshi

Open

Italian Senate election winner?

Brothers of Italy54¢

5 outcomes

$506 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump administration restrict civilian airspace over a US city due to a drone-related security threat before 2027?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$13.3K Vol22d