Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3881US elections 2765Foreign politics 427Political Leader Tenure 354Future US Presidents 225US Political Timelines 203Leader Tenure Predictions 117US Political Future 107Presidential Candidacy 75Person of the Year Awards 13Sports & Political Leadership 10
713 markets · page 9 of 30
Kalshi
Open
Will Government of the UK report that Dan Jarvis is officially listed or confirmed as serving as a full Cabinet minister under Andy Burnham?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$94 Vol 0pts5d
Manifold· Play