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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 17 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2412 Tech Company Valuations 897 Big tech & chips 620 Space 463 Science 271 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,324 markets · page 17 of 56

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$31 Vol▼ 23pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1516171819…56Next ›

Will there be polling about AI voting advice in 2026 midterms?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ329 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release next Mythos-Class model before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$15K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI be able to provide an end-to-end plan for bioweapons production by 2026 EOY?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ11.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release next Mythos-Class model before Nov 1, 2026? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$10.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$301K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Amazon at the end of 2026?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ933 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Anthropic release next Mythos-Class model before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$15.9K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$37.5K Vol▼ 2pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ16K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026? — Deep Fission

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$5.7K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 29, 2026?

>0.147¢

3 outcomes

$25 Vol▼ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Natura Resources

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$4.2K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ37.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$16.9K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Terrestrial Energy

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$5.8K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes28¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$311K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 10000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 10k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ13.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202680¢

32 outcomes

$110K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 12000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 12k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ22 Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$9.4K Vol▼ 4pts5mo