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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 173 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2329 Tech Company Valuations 862 Big tech & chips 598 Space 437 Science 259 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,409 markets · page 173 of 184

Manifold· Play

Open

Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ542 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

‹ Prev1…171172173174175…184Next ›

YOUTUBE Aİ 2030 release by

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ21 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will AI be Time's person of the year in 2025, 2026 or 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ666 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will OpenAI be ordered to pay fines in California for releasing Codex 5.3 without sufficient cyber safeguards?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will the SotA open-source AI model in July 2026 use Test-Time Training?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5d

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AI to solve "Sparse Adversarial Perturbations" from HCAST-Public by 2027?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ594 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ13.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ865 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ168 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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AI Warning Signs: Will a tool that can easily generate generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will there be 25 or more people in space orbiting earth at the end of 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ630 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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LessOnline 2027 will use brand new event software

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ535 Vol▲ 0pts—

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AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Interaction Company of California (creator of Poke AI assistant) acquired before 2028?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Apple announce a new AR headset in 2026?”

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ392 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ46 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

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Will Elon get margin called on the loans he took against his Tesla holdings to buy Twitter?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ826 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?

Yes74¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ129 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ30.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ4.4K Vol▲ 0pts4y