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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 172 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2329 Tech Company Valuations 862 Big tech & chips 598 Space 437 Science 259 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,409 markets · page 172 of 184

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Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will I believe my prediction about AI enabling more SWEs to solve less lucrative problems by shrinking team sizes to have been fulfilled by EoY 2030

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ219 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ981 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ160 Vol▲ 0pts10y

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Full service Tesla charging stations for fsd drivers by mid 2027

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ58 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

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Will Tim Cook have been CEO of Apple 5 years before his death? (aka will Tim be dead within 5yrs)

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ398 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ385 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will there be another Mars 2112 restaurant opened by the end of 2030?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ20.8K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Tesla (TSLA) market cap reach US$8.6-trillion before EOY 2035?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ3.5K Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ203 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ827 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ22.2K Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Despite Elon Musk's immense wealth and SpaceX's Starship, the 12% odds reflect a market that sees his Mars walk as a distant, unlikely dream given his age, technical hurdles, and growing personal controversies that may distract from the mission.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ55.2K Vol▲ 0pts—

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AI generates full movie before 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ9.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ9.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y