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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 18 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2383 Tech Company Valuations 889 Big tech & chips 606 Space 457 Science 269 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,481 markets · page 18 of 187

Manifold· Play

Open

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…1617181920…187Next ›

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

$21.9K Vol2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $5.66 on Jul 31? — Above $5.66

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$448 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 65% on terminal bench?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

$542 Vol▲ 9pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 6.78

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ955 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Polymarket

Open

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$16K Vol▲ 2pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.26 on Jul 31? — Above $2.26

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple release a foldable phone before a phone without a charging port

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ365 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$147 Vol▲ 23pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 2.73

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

AI wins FTL using screen input and mouse/keyboard before 2027

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ779 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic97¢

26 outcomes

$64.3K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Price to Beat: 4.55

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

$100 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Yes36¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? — $80+

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$28.3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.63 on Jul 31? — Above $0.63

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$858 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

With in the decade the Will Be ai based Influencer personality with at least one million subscribers on YouTube or X?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best Text Arena Coding AI model end of July?

Anthropic98¢

26 outcomes

$40.4K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.73 on Jul 31? — Above $0.73

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$748 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ5.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$80.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 210

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$36.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo