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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 17 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2322 Tech Company Valuations 859 Big tech & chips 597 Space 432 Science 258 Through 39 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,387 markets · page 17 of 183

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$220 Vol▼ 9pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…1516171819…183Next ›

Can an LLM be funny in 2026?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ610 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Brooks Nader be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$236 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"47¢

6 outcomes

$32.4K Vol▲ 1pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ10.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $6.66 on Jul 31? — Above $6.66

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$181 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of July?

OpenAI90¢

27 outcomes

$8.1K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Despite recent AI-assisted progress in identifying glitches in fluid equations, the market heavily doubts that the Navier-Stokes problem will be solved by end of 2027 with explicit Google/Alphabet involvement, reflecting the problem's extreme difficulty and the specificity of the condition.

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ66.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$49.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

047¢

7 outcomes

$623 Vol▲ 1pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ421 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will Irina Shayk be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$280 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

Google91¢

31 outcomes

$7.7K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI honesty #1: by 2027 will we have AI that doesn't hallucinate random nonsense?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ8.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Radiant Industries

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$24.2K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$17.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ472 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.07 on Jul 31? — Above $1.07

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$237 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$723 Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $3.96 on Jul 31? — Above $3.96

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$673 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

How much AI extinction risk would you accept?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ181 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$985 Vol▲ 28pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.16 on Jul 31? — Above $4.16

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Manifold have a team offsite in space by 2050?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts—