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AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
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What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
The field is unusually fragmented for a long-range market, with no single candidate above 15% and the top three summing only 41%, reflecting deep uncertainty about which AI or space bet will dominate by 2030. The biggest recent shift is the rise of Anthropic to 13%, likely tied to the broader AI arms race narrative, though no specific headline directly explains its move.
Nvidia15¢
27 outcomes
Ɱ116K Vol 0pts3y