Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 27 | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4098 US elections 2993 Foreign politics 513 Political Leader Tenure 381 Future US Presidents 250 US Political Timelines 210 Leader Tenure Predictions 126 US Political Future 115 Presidential Candidacy 79 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 17 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,490 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 27 of 417

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?

Biden62¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ28.4K Vol▼ 2pts10d

Kalshi

Open

Elissa Slotkin

‹ Prev1…2526272829…417Next ›

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$7.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Francesca Hong83¢

29 outcomes

$239K Vol▼ 2pts15d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Minnesota

Democrats93¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ4.6K Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

$82.5K Vol▲ 1pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party56¢

9 outcomes

$3.3M Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Count Binface get between 25.00 and 40.00% of the vote in the clacton by election

Yes48¢

No52¢

Yes ≈ 48% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Kalshi

Open

Will any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$9.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$50K Vol▼ 9pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How long after launch will BritCard™ suffer it's first significant data breach?

Card does not launch before end of 2026.87¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Texas18¢

15 outcomes

$184K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

NJ-10 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95¢

8 outcomes

$39.9K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

The field is extremely concentrated at 100% for eight outcomes, reflecting a market that has already priced in many of Trump's second-term actions as near-certainties, but the recent headlines suggest a growing narrative of legal and institutional pushback that could challenge these odds.

Trump cancels Biden's AI executive order (EO 14110)100¢

251 outcomes

Ɱ1M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Mike Mazzei80¢

2 outcomes

$626K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$2.5M Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will win the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?

The race is overwhelmingly tilted toward the Republican frontrunner, but an internal GOP power struggle—highlighted by Politico—could fracture the party's unity and create an opening for Democrats, who currently hold only 14% odds.

Republican86¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ115K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$4.5K Vol▼ 43pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — 60+

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$219K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ427 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Francesca Hong receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary? — At least 55%

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

Farage 60%+37¢

6 outcomes

$69.6K Vol▼ 1pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

The market sees a Trump visit to Iran before 2027 as virtually impossible, given active military hostilities, no diplomatic relations, and no travel plans—despite a recent halt in US strikes and a planned Netanyahu meeting that focus on Israel's role, not direct US-Iran engagement.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$288K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Callie Barr77¢

7 outcomes

$20.6K Vol▼ 1pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which US House districts in the Midwest will a Democrat win?

Michigan's 8th district (McDonald Rivet-D)86¢

19 outcomes

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts3mo