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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3805 US elections 2674 President ✨ 754 Foreign politics 402 Republican ✨ 325 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Iran ✨ 126 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 Political ✨ 81 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12

925 markets · page 3 of 39

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$37.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

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Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Bakir Izetbegović50¢

29 outcomes

$38.3K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be the first female elected President?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ754 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

147¢

10 outcomes

$205K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$13.5K Vol▼ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC run for president in 2028?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ27.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Jul 26, 2026 and Aug 1, 2026? — Above 2

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$491 Vol▲ 0pts19d

Polymarket

Open

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$116K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the U.S Supreme Court rule that the U.S President can fire the head of an independent regulatory agency at will?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ209 Vol▲ 0pts6d

Kalshi

Open

Will become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$52.9K Vol▲ 0pts18y

Polymarket

Open

Trump out as President

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$705K Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be the first female US president?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ370 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$79.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio29¢

127 outcomes

$26.6K Vol▼ 1pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$15.4K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will President Trump issue any executive action on declassifying or releasing records related to unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) or UFOs before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$13.3K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ199 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$61.8K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

The 62% Yes odds reflect a market pricing in a non-US impeachment scenario, likely confusing the US presidency with foreign impeachment proceedings like the Philippines' Vice President Sara Duterte case, which dominates recent headlines.

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$469K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ717 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$290K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Gustavo Petro leave President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$189K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ7.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y