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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 25 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2510 Tech Company Valuations 943 Big tech & chips 639 Space 499 Science 299 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,721 markets · page 25 of 197

Kalshi

Open

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028? — Before 2028

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$196K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…2324252627…197Next ›

Will commercial space flights become as common as airplane flights by 2040?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ654 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? — Tablet

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$13.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Jordan Chiles be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$207 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Pornhub offer an option to generate AI porn videos on demand before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-1928¢

7 outcomes

$10.9K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Nina Agdal be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$162 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?

NVIDIA94¢

20 outcomes

Ɱ9.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Who will be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?

Streamer A50¢

26 outcomes

$1.1K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will Yumi Nu be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$158 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$37.5K Vol▼ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tampa, FL before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$7.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a baby be born on Mars before the end of 2100?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ284 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$9.4K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2027? — Before 2027

Despite the Artemis II crewed orbital mission launching in April 2026, the timeline for an actual lunar landing before 2027 is extremely tight, and no dedicated landing mission has been publicly scheduled, making a 2026 landing virtually impossible.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$276K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Is Sam Altman right that no Indian company will successfully compete with OpenAI on foundation models?

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ260 Vol▲ 0pts6y

Polymarket

Open

Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$16.9K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? — Above 18

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ43 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$311K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

The first religion centred around the prophetic writings and responses of AI or an AI will be founded before Oct 2026

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

Ɱ236 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes30¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$18K Vol▲ 1pts5mo