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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 24 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2461 Tech Company Valuations 917 Big tech & chips 629 Space 483 Science 289 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,627 markets · page 24 of 193

Polymarket

Open

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Yes61¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$119K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…2223242526…193Next ›

Will the OpenAI Charter be scrapped or amended by 2027?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ96 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 18

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$3.2K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

Other50¢

27 outcomes

$1K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we have reached space travel by the year 2100

Yes83¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

Ɱ88 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 19

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$474 Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? — 65%+

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$1.4K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 20

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$178 Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$48.6K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

By the end of 2028, will AI models, as Dario Amodei speculates, be able to “replicate and survive in the wild”?

Yes22¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 8000

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$108K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will commercial space flights become as common as airplane flights by 2040?

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ654 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Kalshi

Open

Houston vs Texas Tech

Texas Tech84¢

2 outcomes

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$39 Vol▼ 11pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Pornhub offer an option to generate AI porn videos on demand before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.95 on Jul 31? — Above $4.95

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$184 Vol▼ 2pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?

Other50¢

34 outcomes

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?

NVIDIA94¢

20 outcomes

Ɱ9.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$17.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$2.7K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $4.56 on Jul 31? — Above $4.56

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$619 Vol▲ 0pts5d