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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 40 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4312 US elections 3216 Foreign politics 616 Political Leader Tenure 403 Future US Presidents 263 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,985 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 40 of 417

Manifold· Play

Open

How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?

>= 293¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

‹ Prev1…3839404142…417Next ›

Count Binface Party78¢

15 outcomes

$30.3K Vol▲ 4pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

$2.5K Vol▼ 10pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Tallahassee Mayoral Election

Loranne Ausley60¢

5 outcomes

$5.4K Vol▲ 15pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Hannover Region Presidential Election Winner

Eva Bender55¢

19 outcomes

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic Representatives will OH elect in 2026?

324¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Virginia Republican Senate nominee?

Bert Mizusawa88¢

8 outcomes

$33.5K Vol▲ 3pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$44.3K Vol▲ 3pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?

The field is unusually diffuse for 26 months out, with the top three candidates holding just 47% of the probability and 47 candidates listed, reflecting a lack of clear front-runner consolidation. The single biggest recent shift is the Democratic Party's move to keep South Carolina as the first 2028 primary state (The Guardian, Jul 24), which boosts candidates with strong African American support like Gavin Newsom or Kamala Harris and could reshape delegate math.

J.D. Vance18¢

47 outcomes

Ɱ73.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes14¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$114K Vol▲ 2pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? — Treg Taylor

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$13.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many seats will this election map be wrong on?

418¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ872 Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?

Yes35¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$3K Vol▼ 16pts21h

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

The 3% Yes price for US President impeachment is a baseline-low probability, not a reaction to recent events, as all provided headlines concern the unrelated Philippine Vice President's impeachment trial.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.3M Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?

Ohio79¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ744 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

445¢

16 outcomes

$7.3M Vol▼ 4pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$5.5K Vol▼ 5pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

How many Democratic representatives will New York elect to the House in 2026?

2021¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends

Despite a 19% Yes price, the market is pricing in a much lower chance of Trump's removal than Polymarket's 66% figure for any impeachment during his term, reflecting the extreme difficulty of securing a Senate conviction even if the House impeaches.

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$526K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

CZ # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

20-3952¢

11 outcomes

$2.4K Vol▼ 29pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will win the 2027 french presidential election

Marine le Pen26¢

17 outcomes

Ɱ29.2K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$62.5K Vol▼ 3pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes76¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

$694K Vol▲ 5pts5mo