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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 41 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 4312 US elections 3216 Foreign politics 616 Political Leader Tenure 403 Future US Presidents 263 US Political Timelines 214 Leader Tenure Predictions 140 US Political Future 123 Presidential Candidacy 82 US Political Milestones ✨ 35 Person of the Year Awards 18 Sports & Political Leadership 9

11,985 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 41 of 417

Manifold· Play

Open

How many seats will Democrats win in Louisiana in the national 2026 House elections?

129¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ827 Vol▲ 1pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029 — Before Jan 1, 2029

‹ Prev1…3940414243…417Next ›

The 22nd Amendment's repeal or reinterpretation before 2029 is a long shot, with the 7% Yes odds reflecting speculative chatter around Trump's third-term ambitions rather than any concrete legislative or judicial momentum.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$259K Vol▲ 1pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$42.7K Vol▼ 2pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election

Democrats86¢

2 outcomes

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trey Gowdy announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$7.4K Vol▲ 0pts15d

Polymarket

Open

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$58.2K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ9.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump say "Epstein" before Aug 1, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$8.8K Vol▼ 7pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei53¢

64 outcomes

$372K Vol▲ 1pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ717 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that specifically targets Russia by (i) mandating or authorizing primary sanctions on Russia or key Russian sectors, (ii) imposing secondary penalties on foreign enablers or purchasers of Russian exports, and/or (iii) enabling the seizure and transfer of frozen Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine become law before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$805 Vol▼ 16pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

GPT-6 released

Yes51¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

$689K Vol4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Winner of Democratic Primary for Michigans 13th District?

Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023)76¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026? — Above 35

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$959 Vol▼ 41pts8d

Polymarket

Open

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

$39.6K Vol▲ 7pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?

Yes42¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

125 million and above23¢

9 outcomes

$72.6K Vol▼ 2pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202747¢

29 outcomes

$26.8K Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026?

Democrats win both senate and governor39¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026? — Above 50

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 32pts8d

Polymarket

Open

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra93¢

45 outcomes

$40.4M Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Jeremy Moss90¢

5 outcomes

$47.6K Vol▼ 2pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?

Yes83¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 83% chance

$3.6K Vol▲ 10pts4d