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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 178 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2439 Tech Company Valuations 910 Big tech & chips 627 Space 474 Science 278 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,587 markets · page 178 of 192

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Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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‹ Prev1…176177178179180…192Next ›

Open

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ420 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Open

Will Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ830 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Exodus Propulsion Technologies propellantless propulsion work in space?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

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Open

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

Ɱ15.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ57 Vol▲ 0pts5y

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Open

SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will there be a trend of companies removing "AI-assisted" features from their products before the end of 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ294 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ643 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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AI Warning Signs: Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ641 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Open

AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ133 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Anthropic release a system card of a model at a new frontier of intellegence by August 31st?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

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Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ18.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

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Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ27.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a tech company buy an aluminum smelting company before 2030?

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will I believe my prediction about AI enabling more SWEs to solve less lucrative problems by shrinking team sizes to have been fulfilled by EoY 2030

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

Ɱ219 Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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another @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ981 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ160 Vol▲ 0pts10y

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Full service Tesla charging stations for fsd drivers by mid 2027

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ58 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

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Will Tim Cook have been CEO of Apple 5 years before his death? (aka will Tim be dead within 5yrs)

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ398 Vol▲ 0pts4y