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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2403 Tech Company Valuations 893 Big tech & chips 615 Space 462 Science 270 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,523 markets · page 12 of 189

Manifold· Play

Open

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…1011121314…189Next ›

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$90.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will GPT-X have Galileo mode?

Yes22¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ69 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$244K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Any psychedelic substance for medical use

The real story is that despite Trump's executive order in April 2026 to accelerate psychedelic access (Reuters, Apr 21), the FDA has not yet approved any psychedelic substance this year, and the market's 42% Yes reflects doubt that the agency will move fast enough before Jan 1, 2027.

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$355K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ589 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Polymarket

Open

Iran / Iranian

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$901 Vol▼ 6pts13h

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.26 on Jul 31? — Above $7.26

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$571 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 1.000 or more votes?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ182 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$658 Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Martha Stewart

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$398 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$22.9K Vol▲ 4pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030? — Before 2030

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$134K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ149 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

255¢

6 outcomes

$3.2M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 20000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 20k

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 17pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If not passed, will there be any open source model that would have been covered by SB 1047, by January 1st 2027?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ860 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ungraded Price of the Team Rocket’s Moltres ex Ultra-Premium Collection on Collectr be above $358.19 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00? — Above $358.19

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? — 70%+

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$971 Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI de-deploy GPT-5.5 before 2027 for safety, security, cyber-risk, or other threat-related reasons?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ364 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.43 on Jul 31? — Above $0.43

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts5d